San José State University

Thayer Watkins
Silicon Valley
& Tornado Alley

The Most Reasonable Resolution of the Ukraine Crisis

There is no getting around the fact that the West bungled the situation concerning Crimea, but now that there are enclaves of Russian-speakers* in the Ukraine seeking to leave Ukrainean control and become part of the Russian Federation what are the alternatives. If the crisis continues on its present trajectory here is what will happen providing that war does not break out, which would be immeasurably costly:

The alternative to the above is for the Ukraine to sell
the territories of the enclaves of Russian-speakers to the Russian Federation.

The settling of the enclaves with a population of Russian speakers occurred because of the policies of Joseph Stalin. However those unfair policies cannot now be reversed. During the days when the Ukraine and Russia were tied together politically the enclaves were not mujch of a problem. With the Ukraine divorcing itself from Russia they are a problem and one that will not go away. One way or the other the enclaves of Russian speakers in the Ukraine will be transfered to Russia. That is inevitable. The only question is whether it can be done peacefully or with Russia utilizing its overwheming power in terms of the military and energy.

The other big question is the price at which the territories should be transferred. The only feasible solution tg that question is some international mediation committee that includes repesentatives of the Russian Federation and the Ukraine as well as representatives from outside the dispute.

*It is not so much the Russian speakers as the people who identify themselves as ethnic Russian and maintain a loyalty to Russia. There are Ukranians who have adopted Russian as their primary language because it is the language of business.

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